FAPRI Briefing Book 1998 Tables


Commodity Price Projections

  96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07
                       
Wheat (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
FOB U.S. Gulf 184 155 150 151 157 159 160 162 164 166 171
CIF Rotterdam 216 182 176 178 184 187 188 191 193 195 200
Canadian Thunder Bay 204 171 164 166 172 174 176 178 180 183 188
Australian Wheat Board 182 154 149 150 155 157 159 161 163 165 169
                       
Rice                      
FOB U.S. Houston 469 438 418 417 418 419 420 420 420 421 423
FOB Bangkok 5% Paraboiled 338 288 300 302 305 307 308 311 313 316 320
                       
Corn                      
FOB U.S. Gulf 121 113 108 107 109 111 112 115 117 119 122
CIF Rotterdam 136 127 121 120 123 125 126 129 131 134 137
                       
Barley                      
FOB Pacific Northwest 151 135 128 128 131 132 133 135 136 138 141
                       
Sorghum                      
FOB U.S. Gulf 111 107 105 104 106 108 110 112 115 117 120
                       
Soybeans                      
FOB U.S. Gulf 289 258 233 235 235 237 239 241 245 247 251
CIF Rotterdam 302 278 254 255 256 258 259 262 265 267 272
                       
Soybean Oil                      
FOB Decatur 496 564 540 543 541 539 540 542 544 547 556
FOB Rotterdam 533 602 576 579 577 575 576 577 580 584 593
                       
Soybean Meal                      
FOB Decatur 44% 284 210 194 195 198 201 202 205 209 211 214
CIF Rotterdam 284 216 200 201 204 206 208 210 214 216 219
                       
Rapeseed                      
CIF Hamburg 295 279 263 265 265 267 268 271 274 276 280
Cash Vancouver 324 305 286 288 288 291 292 295 298 301 305
                       
Rapeseed Oil                      
FOB Rotterdam 525 573 545 548 546 545 546 547 550 554 563
                       
Rapeseed Meal                      
FOB Hamburg 187 160 139 140 142 143 144 146 148 150 152
                       
Sugar                      
FOB Caribbean 273 257 257 258 259 260 262 264 267 268 269
New York Spot 496 485 484 485 488 490 492 493 494 495 497
                       
High-Fructose Corn Syrup                      
Chicago Wholesale 437 415 404 402 403 406 409 411 414 417 420
                       
Cotton                      
Cotlook A Index 1,732 1,705 1,711 1,713 1,726 1,744 1,762 1,779 1,801 1,825 1,854
U.S. Farm 1,528 1,502 1,518 1,520 1,530 1,544 1,558 1,572 1,589 1,608 1,630
                       

Commodity Price Projections (continued)

  1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
                       
Beef (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
Nebraska Direct Fed-Steer 1,462 1,528 1,651 1,732 1,649 1,581 1,524 1,486 1,441 1,503 1,580
U.S. Retail 6,173 6,305 6,504 6,614 6,592 6,548 6,504 6,438 6,371 6,702 6,923
Alberta A1, A2 Steer 1,321 1,512 1,638 1,702 1,589 1,531 1,481 1,448 1,406 1,489 1,560
Australian Export (CIF U.S.) 1,881 2,348 2,583 2,714 2,645 2,488 2,354 2,265 2,177 2,152 2,199
                       
Pork                      
Iowa-Southern Minnesota                      
Barrows and Gilts 1,140 890 968 1,028 983 936 992 1,032 981 942 1,005
U.S. Retail 5,115 4,740 4,872 4,916 4,872 4,806 4,872 4,982 4,916 4,762 4,938
Ontario Hogs Index 1,421 1,044 1,133 1,203 1,148 1,100 1,157 1,206 1,150 1,101 1,174
                       
Chicken                      
U.S. 12-City Wholesale 1,296 1,218 1,213 1,218 1,205 1,211 1,231 1,239 1,248 1,242 1,251
                       
Turkey                      
U.S. Wholesale 1,431 1,400 1,402 1,420 1,418 1,415 1,415 1,417 1,415 1,416 1,437
                       
Milk (U.S. Cents per Liter)
U.S. All Milk 30.32 30.26 29.98 29.89 29.85 29.82 29.80 29.87 29.96 30.05 30.12
Canadian Target, Industrial 39.42 40.50 41.52 42.31 43.16 44.03 44.91 45.82 46.74 47.68 48.63
Canadian Fluid Milk, Ontario 44.06 45.32 46.51 47.45 48.46 49.49 50.54 51.61 52.70 53.82 54.95
Australian Industrial Milk 18.36 18.88 19.39 19.65 19.79 19.92 20.15 20.47 20.88 21.33 21.75
Australian Fluid Milk 38.58 39.54 40.78 41.32 41.03 41.26 41.64 42.16 42.82 43.53 44.21
                       
Cheese (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)
FOB Northern Europe 2,425 2,473 2,497 2,515 2,511 2,510 2,522 2,546 2,577 2,611 2,656
U.S. Wholesale 2,919 2,927 2,902 2,904 2,902 2,896 2,892 2,903 2,915 2,927 2,936
Canadian Wholesale 5,742 5,854 6,053 6,213 6,379 6,549 6,724 6,903 7,086 7,273 7,466
Canadian Retail 8,668 8,836 9,133 9,373 9,620 9,874 10,135 10,401 10,674 10,954 11,241
Australian Export 2,773 3,011 3,034 3,052 3,048 3,047 3,060 3,084 3,114 3,149 3,194
                       
Butter                      
FOB Northern Europe 1,724 1,851 1,878 1,894 1,896 1,917 1,935 1,958 1,966 1,980 2,009
U.S. Wholesale 2,355 2,206 2,172 2,082 1,978 2,016 2,016 2,042 2,061 2,077 2,088
Canadian Retail 4,619 4,734 4,786 4,809 4,838 4,867 4,896 4,925 4,954 4,984 5,013
Australian Export 1,661 1,851 1,878 1,894 1,896 1,917 1,935 1,958 1,966 1,980 2,009
                       
Nonfat Dry Milk                      
FOB Northern Europe 1,740 1,628 1,759 1,815 1,865 1,899 1,950 2,015 2,114 2,214 2,285
U.S. Wholesale 2,422 2,262 2,265 2,201 2,236 2,329 2,349 2,324 2,297 2,274 2,248
Canadian Retail 6,969 7,341 7,483 7,734 7,998 8,269 8,545 8,827 9,116 9,411 9,713
Australian Export 1,850 1,628 1,759 1,815 1,865 1,899 1,950 2,015 2,114 2,214 2,285

Last Updated on 3/18/98
By Edgar R. Shen
Email: fapri@iastate.edu