Asia: Livestock
Meat imports in most East Asian countries grow more than 50 percent slower in the next decade than during the 1990s.
Japanese beef and pork imports decline 4 to 6 percent over the next three years before beginning to grow at 4 to 5 percent annually. Japanese poultry imports increase steadily throughout the next decade, rising an average of 5.3 percent each year.
Weak domestic demand and production inefficiencies are expected to continue to hinder Russian meat production for the next five years. Economic recovery in the next century should spread to the swine and poultry sectors, and production will begin to increase slowly after 2002.
Russian meat imports decline in the short run as a consequence of the Ruble devaluation in 1998. The recovery in domestic meat demand stimulates 4 percent annual growth in Russia’s meat imports shortly after the turn of the century.
Chinese meat and egg production increases more than 40 percent over the next decade. Poultry and mutton production show the greatest increases in percentage terms, increasing 85 and 71 percent respectively. In quantity terms, the 13 mmt increase in pork production is greater than the production growth of all other meats and eggs combined.