World Poultry
Over the next 10 years, per capita consumption, production, and broiler net trade are projected to grow at annual rates of 1.4, 2.8, and 3.4 percent, respectively.
Poultry production grows between 1 and 2.5 percent annually in most countries of the world, combining for a total increase of 31 percent over the projection period. The United States remains the world’s largest poultry producer, generating roughly 35 percent of world output.
Broiler trade increases 40 percent from 1998 to 2008 for a total change of more than 1.38 mmt. More than 55 percent of growth in net imports occurs in China and Japan, with each country adding more than 335 tmt to imports by 2008.
Mexican output of poultry meat climbs nearly 22.1 percent from 1998 to 2008; nevertheless, the complete liberalization of Mexico’s broiler sector under NAFTA prompts broiler imports to nearly double in 2003. Mexican broiler imports continue to increase 5.3 percent annually until 2008.
U.S. exporters capture all of the increase in world broiler imports over the next decade. Brazil secures an additional 164 tmt of exports. Abundant grain supplies and high productivity give both countries an advantage over competitors in Europe and East Asia.